D-day 0 C O N T A C T S
REGISTRATION
PERSONAL INFORMATION
Submission Time: 2017-07-12 06:13:17 UTC


Email: david.webb@bc.edu
First Name: David
Middle Name:
Last Name: Webb
Name as it appears on badge : David Webb
Affiliation: Boston College
Nationality: United States
Degree: Dr.


Preferred Working Group 1st Choice: WG 4 (Event Campaign)
Preferred Working Group 2nd Choice: WG 5 (Bs Challenge)


PRESENTATION
Title : Understanding Problem Forecasts of ISEST Campaign Flare-CME Events
Abstract
The goal of the ISEST (International Study of Earth-affecting Solar Transients) VarSITI project is to understand the origin, evolution and propagation of solar transients through the space between the Sun and Earth, and to improve our prediction capability for space weather. A goal of ISEST Working Group 4 (Campaign Events) is to study a set of well-observed Sun-to-Earth events to better understand why some events are successfully forecast (textbook cases), whereas others become problem or failed forecasts. In this presentation we study several cases during Solar Cycle 24 that highlight forecasting problems. These cases generally included major solar flares and CMEs, and the geoeffects ranged from none to the two Sun-Earth events in 2015 that caused severe storms. These events have been chosen to illustrate key problems in understanding the chain from cause to geo-effect.


LUNCH
Sep. 18, Sep. 19, Sep. 20, Sep. 21, Sep. 22

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